Sampdoria (K) 2-5 Sassuolo (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
55%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.91
Over 2.5
40%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
29%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
55%
Away Win
55%
-0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.2pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 59%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.02/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.69
-44% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 78%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
16.2 Crosses 23.1
0.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.60 xG 2.04
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
213 Passes 318
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.02.2025 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
09.11.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
17.02.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria (K)
2-5
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
0.87 xG 2.46
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
196 Passes 331
62% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sampdoria (K) vs Sassuolo (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo (K) ran out comfortable winners over Sampdoria (K) 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sassuolo (K) as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sampdoria (K) had 42% of the ball to Sassuolo (K)'s 58%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 0.87 to 2.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sassuolo (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Sampdoria (K) and 2.33 for Sassuolo (K).

What was the final score of Sampdoria (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Sampdoria (K) 2-5 Sassuolo (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassuolo (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria (K) 20%, draw 25%, Sassuolo (K) 55%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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