Rot-Weiss Essen 3-1 Osnabrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 11 May 2025

Rot-Weiss Essen
3-1 HT 1-0
Osnabrück
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Osnabrück Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.16
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
28.5
1/X
9%
12.75
X/1
13%
5.39
X/2
12%
6.6
X/X
8%
5.26
2/1
9%
24.2
2/2
16%
4.32
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Essen v Osnabrück — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -21%
1.42/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.58
-8% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.9 Crosses 19.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Osnabrück Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Osnabrück
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
356 Passes 210
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.12.2024 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
14.03.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 HT 0-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
09.09.2022 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3

Rot-Weiss Essen 3-1 Osnabrück — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
3-1
AWAY Osnabrück
42% Ball Possession 58%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
218 Passes 317
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Osnabrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen got the better of Osnabrück 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Rot-Weiss Essen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 42% of the ball to Osnabrück's 58%, shots finished 18-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Osnabrück led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 1.33 for Osnabrück.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Osnabrück?

Rot-Weiss Essen 3-1 Osnabrück in the Germany - 3rd Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Osnabrück?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 40%, draw 23%, Osnabrück 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✓ Over 2.5
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