Osnabrück 2-0 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.33
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
3.02
6+ Goals
12%
9.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.43
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
20%
4.5
X/2
11%
8.46
X/X
15%
5.45
2/1
6%
22.1
2/2
7%
5.85
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -17%
1.59/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.51
-9% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.2 Crosses 23.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osnabrück
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 HT 0-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
09.09.2022 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osnabrück
2-0
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 7
210 Passes 356
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Osnabrück vs Rot-Weiss Essen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osnabrück got the better of Rot-Weiss Essen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Osnabrück as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Osnabrück had 41% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 59%, shots finished 13-19.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Osnabrück had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Osnabrück and 0.50 for Rot-Weiss Essen.

What was the final score of Osnabrück vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Osnabrück 2-0 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osnabrück vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osnabrück win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Osnabrück 47%, draw 26%, Rot-Weiss Essen 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osnabrück) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Osnabrück) ✗ Over 2.5
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