Saarbrücken 1-1 Alemannia Aachen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 15 Dec 2024

Saarbrücken
1-1 HT 0-1
Alemannia Aachen
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Saarbrücken vs Alemannia Aachen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.62
6+ Goals
11%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 28% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.77
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.8
X/1
15%
4.5
X/2
11%
7.25
X/X
9%
4.79
2/1
10%
25.0
2/2
11%
5.38
2/X
8%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Saarbrücken v Alemannia Aachen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.65/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.99
+0% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.0 Crosses 20.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0

Saarbrücken vs Alemannia Aachen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saarbrücken
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
The Meetings
07.08.2012 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-2 HT 1-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL3
29.03.2006 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-5 HT 2-2 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
09.09.2005 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 4-0 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL2
20.03.2005 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-2 HT 0-1 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
24.10.2004 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 3-1 HT 2-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL2
10.03.2002 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-1 HT 1-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2

Saarbrücken 1-1 Alemannia Aachen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saarbrücken
1-1
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
423 Passes 189
78% Pass Accuracy 62%
32 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Saarbrücken vs Alemannia Aachen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saarbrücken and Alemannia Aachen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Saarbrücken at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Saarbrücken had 65% of the ball to Alemannia Aachen's 35%, shots finished 17-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alemannia Aachen led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Saarbrücken and 2.83 for Alemannia Aachen.

What was the final score of Saarbrücken vs Alemannia Aachen?

Saarbrücken 1-1 Alemannia Aachen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saarbrücken vs Alemannia Aachen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Saarbrücken 48%, draw 26%, Alemannia Aachen 27%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saarbrücken)
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