Energie Cottbus 3-1 Hansa Rostock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.24
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
3.06
6+ Goals
12%
9.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.6
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
5%
11.55
X/1
14%
6.02
X/2
16%
6.23
X/X
12%
4.76
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
27.0
2/2
13%
3.78
2/X
6%
11.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.3pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.9pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.8pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +5%
0.72/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.07
-7% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 70%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
20.4 Crosses 24.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Energie Cottbus
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hansa Rostock
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.60 xG 1.43
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
236 Passes 300
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.12.2018 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-2 HT 0-1 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
29.07.2018 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 3-0 HT 2-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
27.02.2016 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 0-1 HT 0-1 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
11.09.2015 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 1-1 HT 0-1 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
16.05.2015 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-1 HT 0-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
22.11.2014 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-0 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Energie Cottbus
3-1
AWAY Hansa Rostock
50% Ball Possession 50%
21 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
348 Passes 343
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Energie Cottbus vs Hansa Rostock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Energie Cottbus got the better of Hansa Rostock 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Energie Cottbus as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Energie Cottbus had 50% of the ball to Hansa Rostock's 50%, shots finished 21-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Energie Cottbus had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Energie Cottbus and 0.33 for Hansa Rostock.

What was the final score of Energie Cottbus vs Hansa Rostock?

Energie Cottbus 3-1 Hansa Rostock in the Germany - 3rd Division on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Energie Cottbus vs Hansa Rostock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Energie Cottbus win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Energie Cottbus 42%, draw 23%, Hansa Rostock 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Energie Cottbus), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Energie Cottbus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
15 Dec 2024
18:30 Osnabrück vs Rot-Weiss Essen Analysis →
21:30 Saarbrücken vs Alemannia Aachen Analysis →