Guabira 3-1 Real Oruro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guabira EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oruro EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.62/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.79
+3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 71%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
21.2 Crosses 13.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guabira
3-1
AWAY Real Oruro
1.35 xG 0.29
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
357 Passes 227
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
30 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guabira vs Real Oruro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guabira beat Real Oruro 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Guabira as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Guabira had 58% of the ball to Real Oruro's 42%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.35 to 0.29.

What was the final score of Guabira vs Real Oruro?

Guabira 3-1 Real Oruro in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guabira vs Real Oruro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guabira win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Guabira 51%, draw 25%, Real Oruro 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guabira), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guabira) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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