Independiente Petrolero 5-2 Oriente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.2pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -16%
1.16/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.38
+16% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
267 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
18.5 Crosses 18.0
3.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.16 xG 1.35
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
170 Passes 229
67% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 16
8 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
22.05.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 3-2 HT 2-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
25.07.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 2-0 HT 1-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
19.02.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
13.10.2022 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 3-3 HT 1-2 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
19.08.2021 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-2 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Petrolero
5-2
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
1.74 xG 2.17
31% Ball Possession 69%
19 Total Shots 24
9 Shots on Target 15
4 Corners 10
114 Passes 329
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs Oriente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero cruised past Oriente Petrolero 5-2. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Independiente Petrolero as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Independiente Petrolero had 31% of the ball to Oriente Petrolero's 69%, shots finished 19-24, expected goals 1.74 to 2.17 — on chances, Oriente Petrolero could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Petrolero had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 1.50 for Oriente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Oriente Petrolero?

Independiente Petrolero 5-2 Oriente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs Oriente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 45%, draw 25%, Oriente Petrolero 30%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Petrolero), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BOLİ More Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme
11 May 2025
00:15 Guabira vs Real Oruro Analysis →
22:00 Always Ready vs Real Tomayapo Analysis →