Oriente Petrolero 1-1 Independiente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 23 Nov 2024

Oriente Petrolero
1-1 HT 1-1
Independiente Petrolero
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Oriente Petrolero vs Independiente Petrolero Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-11.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Oriente Petrolero v Independiente Petrolero — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.50/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.42
-16% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 72%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
22.0 Crosses 15.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3

Oriente Petrolero vs Independiente Petrolero Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oriente Petrolero
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.44 xG 1.36
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
203 Passes 188
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
22.05.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 3-2 HT 2-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
25.07.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 2-0 HT 1-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
19.02.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
13.10.2022 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 3-3 HT 1-2 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
19.08.2021 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-2 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ

Oriente Petrolero 1-1 Independiente Petrolero — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oriente Petrolero
1-1
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.00 xG 0.39
72% Ball Possession 28%
19 Total Shots 1
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
332 Passes 95
81% Pass Accuracy 56%
26 Box Touches 8
38 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Oriente Petrolero vs Independiente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oriente Petrolero and Independiente Petrolero shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Oriente Petrolero at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Oriente Petrolero had 72% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 28%, shots finished 19-1, expected goals 1.00 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Independiente Petrolero led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Oriente Petrolero and 2.00 for Independiente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Oriente Petrolero vs Independiente Petrolero?

Oriente Petrolero 1-1 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oriente Petrolero vs Independiente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oriente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Oriente Petrolero 47%, draw 23%, Independiente Petrolero 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Oriente Petrolero), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oriente Petrolero) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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