Difaa El Jadida 2-1 Ittihad Tanger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 11 May 2025

Difaa El Jadida
2-1 HT 0-1
Ittihad Tanger
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Morocco - League – 2024/2025

Difaa El Jadida vs Ittihad Tanger Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.69
6+ Goals
11%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 31% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Difaa El Jadida v Ittihad Tanger — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Difaa El Jadida EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ittihad Tanger EU Bookmakers 33%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -16%
1.18/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.15
-12% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Difaa El Jadida vs Ittihad Tanger Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Difaa El Jadida
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ittihad Tanger
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.12.2024 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 1-1 HT 1-0 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida FAS
17.06.2023 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 1-0 HT 0-0 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida FAS
18.01.2023 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida 2-1 HT 1-0 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
16.05.2022 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida 2-2 HT 1-1 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
04.11.2021 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 4-2 HT 3-0 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida FAS
14.07.2021 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 0-1 HT 0-1 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida FAS
POST-MATCH Difaa El Jadida vs Ittihad Tanger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Difaa El Jadida nicked a narrow win over Ittihad Tanger 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Difaa El Jadida made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Difaa El Jadida and 1.50 for Ittihad Tanger.

What was the final score of Difaa El Jadida vs Ittihad Tanger?

Difaa El Jadida 2-1 Ittihad Tanger in the Morocco - League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Difaa El Jadida vs Ittihad Tanger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Difaa El Jadida win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Difaa El Jadida 36%, draw 27%, Ittihad Tanger 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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