Moghreb Tetouan 0-3 JS Soualem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.43
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.48
6+ Goals
8%
24.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.43 — our 37% vs market 33.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-11.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.8pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moghreb Tetouan EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY JS Soualem EU Bookmakers 20%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.23/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.37
-21% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moghreb Tetouan
3W-0D-3L
AWAY JS Soualem
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.12.2024 JS Soualem JS Soualem 2-0 HT 0-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
08.04.2024 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 2-1 HT 1-0 JS Soualem JS Soualem FASK
03.03.2024 JS Soualem JS Soualem 1-2 HT 0-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
29.10.2023 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 4-0 HT 2-0 JS Soualem JS Soualem FAS
14.06.2023 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 1-2 HT 1-2 JS Soualem JS Soualem FAS
15.01.2023 JS Soualem JS Soualem 2-1 HT 1-1 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moghreb Tetouan
0-3
AWAY JS Soualem
50% Ball Possession 50%
POST-MATCH Moghreb Tetouan vs JS Soualem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JS Soualem swept aside Moghreb Tetouan 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Moghreb Tetouan at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Moghreb Tetouan had 50% of the ball to JS Soualem's 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Moghreb Tetouan and 1.33 for JS Soualem.

What was the final score of Moghreb Tetouan vs JS Soualem?

Moghreb Tetouan 0-3 JS Soualem in the Morocco - League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moghreb Tetouan vs JS Soualem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moghreb Tetouan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Moghreb Tetouan 46%, draw 29%, JS Soualem 25%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Moghreb Tetouan), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moghreb Tetouan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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