Lyon (K) 4-1 Dijon (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 11 May 2025

Lyon (K)
4-1 HT 2-0
Dijon (K)
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2024/2025

Lyon (K) vs Dijon (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
20%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
82%
-21.6pp
20%
Draw
11%
+8.4pp
20%
Away Win
7%
+13.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.4pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lyon (K) v Dijon (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Dijon (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.66/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.53
+14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -12%
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
445 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 75%
46.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.1
26.7 Crosses 13.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Lyon (K) vs Dijon (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyon (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Dijon (K)
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.70 xG 0.37
75% Ball Possession 25%
23 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
596 Passes 138
86% Pass Accuracy 59%
49 Box Touches 8
32 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
08.01.2025 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) FRK1
12.10.2024 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) 0-3 HT 0-2 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) FRK1
03.03.2024 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) 1-3 HT 1-2 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) FRK1
POST-MATCH Lyon (K) vs Dijon (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon (K) cruised past Dijon (K) 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lyon (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Lyon (K) and 0.33 for Dijon (K).

What was the final score of Lyon (K) vs Dijon (K)?

Lyon (K) 4-1 Dijon (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyon (K) vs Dijon (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Lyon (K) 60%, draw 20%, Dijon (K) 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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