Dijon (K) 0-3 Lyon (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
12.23
Draw
12%
8.11
Away
63%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.68
Over 2.5
67%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
50%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
5%
+19.2pp
12%
Draw
9%
+3.0pp
63%
Away Win
86%
-22.3pp
33%
Under 2.5
24%
+9.6pp
67%
Over 2.5
76%
-9.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.8pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 91%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.82/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.94/0.83
-12% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +14%
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
233 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 83%
12.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.1
11.3 Crosses 26.9
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dijon (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lyon (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.31 xG 3.30
24% Ball Possession 76%
5 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
113 Passes 609
49% Pass Accuracy 85%
4 Box Touches 42
5 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 1
03.03.2024 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) 1-3 HT 1-2 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon (K)
0-3
AWAY Lyon (K)
0.45 xG 1.97
29% Ball Possession 71%
7 Total Shots 27
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 13
172 Passes 551
66% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 46
10 Crosses 32
POST-MATCH Dijon (K) vs Lyon (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon (K) swept aside Dijon (K) 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dijon (K) had 29% of the ball to Lyon (K)'s 71%, shots finished 7-27, expected goals 0.45 to 1.97.

What was the final score of Dijon (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Dijon (K) 0-3 Lyon (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Dijon (K) 25%, draw 12%, Lyon (K) 63%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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