Fleury 91 (K) 4-1 Guingamp (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.27
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
13%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
74%
-5.7pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.2pp
13%
Away Win
10%
+3.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.0pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleury 91 (K) EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
3.76/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.20/2.53
-54% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +1%
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
466 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
39.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.6
21.6 Crosses 7.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleury 91 (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Guingamp (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.64 xG 1.94
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
345 Passes 136
78% Pass Accuracy 59%
36 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 5
10.02.2024 Guingamp (K) Guingamp (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Fleury 91 (K) Fleury 91 (K) FRK1
14.01.2024 Fleury 91 (K) Fleury 91 (K) 2-0 Guingamp (K) Guingamp (K) FRKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleury 91 (K)
4-1
AWAY Guingamp (K)
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Fleury 91 (K) vs Guingamp (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleury 91 (K) ran out comfortable winners over Guingamp (K) 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fleury 91 (K) as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Fleury 91 (K) had 57% of the ball to Guingamp (K)'s 43%, shots finished 17-2.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fleury 91 (K) and 1.50 for Guingamp (K).

What was the final score of Fleury 91 (K) vs Guingamp (K)?

Fleury 91 (K) 4-1 Guingamp (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleury 91 (K) vs Guingamp (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fleury 91 (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Fleury 91 (K) 69%, draw 18%, Guingamp (K) 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fleury 91 (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fleury 91 (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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