Yangpyeong 2-1 Mokpo City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yangpyeong EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +24%
1.80/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.15
+36% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yangpyeong
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Mokpo City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
02.11.2024 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong 2-0 HT 2-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
22.06.2024 Mokpo City Mokpo City 3-1 HT 2-0 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong GK3L
08.07.2023 Mokpo City Mokpo City 2-0 HT 2-0 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong GK3L
26.03.2023 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong 0-2 HT 0-1 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
09.05.2020 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong 2-3 HT 0-1 Mokpo City Mokpo City GKOK
POST-MATCH Yangpyeong vs Mokpo City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yangpyeong nicked a narrow win over Mokpo City 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Yangpyeong found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mokpo City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yangpyeong and 2.00 for Mokpo City.

What was the final score of Yangpyeong vs Mokpo City?

Yangpyeong 2-1 Mokpo City in the South Kore - K3 League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yangpyeong vs Mokpo City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yangpyeong win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Yangpyeong 40%, draw 26%, Mokpo City 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yangpyeong) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yangpyeong) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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