Jeonnam Dragons 2-1 Seongnam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
15.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Seongnam EU Bookmakers 30%
-14% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.00/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.44
-29% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 72%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.1 Crosses 17.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Seongnam
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
484 Passes 369
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 0-1 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
23.07.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 1-2 HT 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
15.05.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 2-0 HT 2-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
03.09.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-0 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
29.07.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 2-1 HT 2-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
08.04.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 2-2 HT 0-1 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
2-1
AWAY Seongnam
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
311 Passes 535
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
7 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jeonnam Dragons vs Seongnam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonnam Dragons edged past Seongnam 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jeonnam Dragons as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Jeonnam Dragons had 38% of the ball to Seongnam's 62%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonnam Dragons had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jeonnam Dragons and 0.83 for Seongnam.

What was the final score of Jeonnam Dragons vs Seongnam?

Jeonnam Dragons 2-1 Seongnam in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonnam Dragons vs Seongnam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonnam Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Jeonnam Dragons 46%, draw 27%, Seongnam 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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