JEF United (K) 0-1 Albirex Niigata (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
52%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
27%
-5.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
52%
Away Win
44%
+7.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.34/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.36
-61% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United (K)
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
06.10.2024 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) JWEL
28.04.2024 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) JWEL
20.03.2024 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United (K)
0-1
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH JEF United (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata (K) squeezed past JEF United (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Albirex Niigata (K) as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, JEF United (K) had 48% of the ball to Albirex Niigata (K)'s 52%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for JEF United (K) and 0.67 for Albirex Niigata (K).

What was the final score of JEF United (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

JEF United (K) 0-1 Albirex Niigata (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Albirex Niigata (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split JEF United (K) 21%, draw 27%, Albirex Niigata (K) 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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