Omiya Ardija (K) 1-2 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.18
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
63%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
23%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
11%
+6.9pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.7pp
63%
Away Win
71%
-7.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.00/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.54
-100% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +14%
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
203 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 13
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
24.11.2024 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 4-1 HT 3-0 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JWEL
27.04.2024 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 7-0 HT 3-0 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JWEL
20.03.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
1-2
AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
33% Ball Possession 67%
3 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) squeezed past Omiya Ardija (K) 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Omiya Ardija (K) had 33% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy B. (K)'s 67%, shots finished 3-18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Omiya Ardija (K) and 4.00 for Tokyo Verdy B. (K).

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?

Omiya Ardija (K) 1-2 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija (K) 18%, draw 19%, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 63%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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