Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 4-1 Omiya Ardija (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.22
Draw
14%
5.71
Away
10%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.51
Over 2.5
69%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win — 76%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
77%
-1.3pp
14%
Draw
14%
-0.8pp
10%
Away Win
8%
+2.0pp
31%
Under 2.5
36%
-4.7pp
69%
Over 2.5
64%
+4.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.98/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/3.55
+22% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -41%
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
408 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
69% Ball Possession 31%
30 Total Shots 6
16 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
27.04.2024 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 7-0 HT 3-0 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JWEL
20.03.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
4-1
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) ran out comfortable winners over Omiya Ardija (K) 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) had 56% of the ball to Omiya Ardija (K)'s 44%, shots finished 15-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Tokyo Verdy B. (K) and 0.00 for Omiya Ardija (K).

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 4-1 Omiya Ardija (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 76%, draw 14%, Omiya Ardija (K) 10%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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