JEF United (K) 1-2 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.99
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
239 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.05.2024 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) JWEL
16.03.2024 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United (K)
1-2
AWAY INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH JEF United (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) squeezed past JEF United (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, JEF United (K) had 39% of the ball to INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)'s 61%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for JEF United (K) and 1.50 for INAC Kobe Leonessa (K).

What was the final score of JEF United (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)?

JEF United (K) 1-2 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split JEF United (K) 26%, draw 26%, INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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