Al Arabi 1-2 Al Kuwait — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒20:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.99
Draw
20%
3.11
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.6
No
56%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.71
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.06
6+ Goals
8%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 30% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
30%
+12.7pp
20%
Draw
29%
-8.5pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.9pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kuwait EU Bookmakers 45%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.33/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.77
-4% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +77%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Kuwait
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
15.02.2025 Al Arabi Al Arabi 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait KUV
27.09.2024 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
27.05.2024 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
02.05.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait KUV
03.03.2024 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
03.12.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait KUV
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Al Kuwait
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kuwait nicked a narrow win over Al Arabi 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Arabi at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Kuwait led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Arabi and 1.33 for Al Kuwait.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Al Kuwait?

Al Arabi 1-2 Al Kuwait in the Kuwait - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Al Kuwait?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 43%, draw 20%, Al Kuwait 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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