Hodd 2-1 Sogndal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 11 May 2025

Hodd
2-1 HT 1-0
Sogndal
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2025

Hodd vs Sogndal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.9
Over 2.5
40%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
3.41
6+ Goals
8%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 35% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
49%
+11.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
51%
-11.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.0pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hodd v Sogndal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hodd EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sogndal EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
0.98/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.65
-33% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
235 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Hodd vs Sogndal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hodd
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sogndal
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Hodd Hodd 2-2 HT 1-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
16.05.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 1-0 HT 1-0 Hodd Hodd NOR1
22.05.2019 Hodd Hodd 0-2 HT 0-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOK
21.09.2015 Hodd Hodd 1-0 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
27.06.2015 Sogndal Sogndal 1-1 HT 1-0 Hodd Hodd NOR1
13.07.2008 Sogndal Sogndal 3-1 HT 1-1 Hodd Hodd NOR1
POST-MATCH Hodd vs Sogndal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hodd squeezed past Sogndal 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Hodd found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sogndal led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hodd and 1.50 for Sogndal.

What was the final score of Hodd vs Sogndal?

Hodd 2-1 Sogndal in the Norway - 1st Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hodd vs Sogndal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sogndal win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hodd 34%, draw 27%, Sogndal 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sogndal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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11 May 2025
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