Mjondalen 1-4 Ranheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.07
Over 2.5
44%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.03
6+ Goals
9%
9.81
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 29% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
42%
Away Win
42%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.0pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ranheim EU Bookmakers 46%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -16%
1.48/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.24
+2% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjondalen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ranheim
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2024 Ranheim Ranheim 0-1 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
09.06.2024 Mjondalen Mjondalen 3-3 HT 2-1 Ranheim Ranheim NOR1
13.08.2023 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-2 HT 0-0 Ranheim Ranheim NOR1
24.06.2023 Ranheim Ranheim 2-3 HT 2-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
08.08.2022 Ranheim Ranheim 2-1 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
26.05.2022 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-2 HT 1-0 Ranheim Ranheim NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjondalen
1-4
AWAY Ranheim
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mjondalen vs Ranheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ranheim swept aside Mjondalen 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ranheim as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mjondalen had 51% of the ball to Ranheim's 49%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ranheim led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mjondalen and 1.83 for Ranheim.

What was the final score of Mjondalen vs Ranheim?

Mjondalen 1-4 Ranheim in the Norway - 1st Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjondalen vs Ranheim?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ranheim win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mjondalen 34%, draw 24%, Ranheim 42%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ranheim) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ranheim) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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