Sportivo Ameliano 1-2 Deportivo Recoleta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
0.95/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.51/0.98
-25% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 1-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
1-2
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Recoleta nicked a narrow win over Sportivo Ameliano 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Deportivo Recoleta made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 59% of the ball to Deportivo Recoleta's 41%, shots finished 9-5.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Sportivo Ameliano 1-2 Deportivo Recoleta in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Ameliano win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 39%, draw 29%, Deportivo Recoleta 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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