ADT 2-2 Juan Pablo II College — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.0pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.5pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADT EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Juan Pablo II College EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.59/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.74
-22% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
338 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
24.3 Crosses 20.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADT
2-2
AWAY Juan Pablo II College
1.31 xG 1.22
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 0
332 Passes 203
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 9
27 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ADT vs Juan Pablo II College
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADT and Juan Pablo II College couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had ADT at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, ADT had 60% of the ball to Juan Pablo II College's 40%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 1.31 to 1.22.

What was the final score of ADT vs Juan Pablo II College?

ADT 2-2 Juan Pablo II College in the Peru - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADT vs Juan Pablo II College?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split ADT 57%, draw 22%, Juan Pablo II College 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (ADT), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ADT) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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