Cultural San 2-1 UTC Cajamarca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.7pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural San EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 25%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
0.68/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.44
+4% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 72%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
24.6 Crosses 16.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural San
0W-1D-1L
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.82 xG 0.93
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
305 Passes 224
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
19.09.2024 Cultural San Cultural San 1-1 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
15.04.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-0 HT 1-0 Cultural San Cultural San PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural San
2-1
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
1.97 xG 0.19
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
266 Passes 342
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Cultural San vs UTC Cajamarca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural San nicked a narrow win over UTC Cajamarca 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cultural San as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cultural San had 45% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 55%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.97 to 0.19 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cultural San's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, UTC Cajamarca led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cultural San and 1.50 for UTC Cajamarca.

What was the final score of Cultural San vs UTC Cajamarca?

Cultural San 2-1 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural San vs UTC Cajamarca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural San win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cultural San 50%, draw 26%, UTC Cajamarca 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cultural San) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cultural San) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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