Cultural San 1-1 UTC Cajamarca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural San EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 22%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
0.65/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.34
+26% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 70%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
24.0 Crosses 17.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural San
0W-0D-1L
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.88 xG 1.10
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
332 Passes 288
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 0
15.04.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-0 HT 1-0 Cultural San Cultural San PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural San
1-1
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
0.77 xG 0.76
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 8
278 Passes 161
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
19 Box Touches 9
32 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cultural San vs UTC Cajamarca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural San and UTC Cajamarca shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cultural San at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Cultural San had 59% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 41%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.77 to 0.76.

What was the final score of Cultural San vs UTC Cajamarca?

Cultural San 1-1 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural San vs UTC Cajamarca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural San win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cultural San 53%, draw 25%, UTC Cajamarca 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cultural San), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cultural San) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PER More Peru - Premier League
19 Sep 2024
02:00 Cienciano vs Sport Huancayo Analysis →
04:30 Universitario vs Sport Boys Analysis →
21:00 Union Comercio vs Alianza Atletico Analysis →