Universitario 3-0 Sport Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.75
No
61%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-9.0pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.7pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
32%
+7.1pp
61%
BTTS No
68%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 12%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.70/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.64
+8% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 71%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.7
21.5 Crosses 13.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sport Boys
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.41 xG 0.80
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
315 Passes 216
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-2 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
21.09.2023 Universitario Universitario 3-0 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
29.04.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-3 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
11.09.2022 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-1 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
24.04.2022 Universitario Universitario 1-1 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
22.08.2021 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario
3-0
AWAY Sport Boys
3.19 xG 0.25
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 1
298 Passes 189
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
34 Box Touches 2
35 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Universitario vs Sport Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario swept aside Sport Boys 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Universitario had 59% of the ball to Sport Boys's 41%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 3.19 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Universitario and 0.33 for Sport Boys.

What was the final score of Universitario vs Sport Boys?

Universitario 3-0 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario vs Sport Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Universitario 62%, draw 23%, Sport Boys 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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