Union Comercio vs Alianza Atletico Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Comercio v Alianza Atletico — Team-Based Signals
Union Comercio vs Alianza Atletico Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Union Comercio
PER
3-3
HT 3-2
Alianza Atletico
PER
1-2
HT 1-0
Alianza Atletico
PER
1-3
HT 0-0
Union Comercio
PER
1-2
HT 1-2
Union Comercio
PER
Union Comercio 1-2 Alianza Atletico — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Atletico nicked a narrow win over Union Comercio 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Alianza Atletico found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Union Comercio had 68% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 32%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.68 to 1.75.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Union Comercio and 1.83 for Alianza Atletico.
What was the final score of Union Comercio vs Alianza Atletico?
Union Comercio 1-2 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Comercio vs Alianza Atletico?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Union Comercio 36%, draw 28%, Alianza Atletico 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Atletico) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.