Chrobry Glogow 2-1 Warta Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.78
Over
40%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.82
No
60%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.97
2-3
44%
1.74
4-5
18%
3.63
6+
9%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.97 — our 29% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Chrobry Glogow The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Warta Poznan The Market 28%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.76 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.43
1.14 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.12
Average Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Average Defensevs comparable teams Great
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chrobry Glogow
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Warta Poznan
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 1-0 HT 1-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
29.06.2024 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 1-0 HT 0-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow HAZ
30.06.2020 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 1-2 HT 0-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
05.10.2019 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 0-0 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL1
02.02.2019 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 2-1 HT 2-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chrobry Glogow
2-1
AWAY Warta Poznan
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Chrobry Glogow vs Warta Poznan
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Chrobry Glogow squeezed past Warta Poznan 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chrobry Glogow as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: possession split 51% to 49% in Chrobry Glogow's favour, shots finished 8-11.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.80 a game for Chrobry Glogow against 0.80 for Warta Poznan.

Chrobry Glogow vs Warta Poznan Result & Final Score

Chrobry Glogow 2-1 Warta Poznan in the Poland - 1st Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Chrobry Glogow vs Warta Poznan Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Chrobry Glogow win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chrobry Glogow 47%, draw 24%, Warta Poznan 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chrobry Glogow) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chrobry Glogow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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