Nieciecza 3-1 Gornik Leczna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.95
Over
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No Pick
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.41
2-3
38%
1.78
4-5
24%
3.25
6+
11%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.41 — our 27% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Nieciecza The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Leczna The Market 23%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.82 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.15
1.08 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.13
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Great
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nieciecza
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gornik Leczna
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.16 xG 0.63
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
300 Passes 208
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Box Touches 12
30 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 0-2 HT 0-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
28.04.2024 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 0-1 HT 0-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
28.10.2023 Nieciecza Nieciecza 3-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
23.04.2023 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 2-1 HT 2-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
17.09.2022 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-2 HT 0-2 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
09.05.2022 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-1 HT 1-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nieciecza
3-1
AWAY Gornik Leczna
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Nieciecza vs Gornik Leczna
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Nieciecza got the better of Gornik Leczna 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nieciecza as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 48%. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.82, about 55%.

By the numbers, possession split 50% to 50% in Nieciecza's favour, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nieciecza had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Nieciecza against 0.83 for Gornik Leczna.

Nieciecza vs Gornik Leczna Result & Final Score

Nieciecza 3-1 Gornik Leczna in the Poland - 1st Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Nieciecza vs Gornik Leczna Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Nieciecza win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nieciecza 45%, draw 26%, Gornik Leczna 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nieciecza) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nieciecza) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
11 May 2025
13:00 Chrobry Glogow vs Warta Poznan Analysis →
18:00 Odra Opole vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg Analysis →