Gornik Leczna 0-2 Nieciecza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 29% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 48%
+10% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.24/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.98
+8% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
287 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 534 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Leczna
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Nieciecza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 1.87
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
215 Passes 324
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2024 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 0-1 HT 0-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
28.10.2023 Nieciecza Nieciecza 3-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
23.04.2023 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 2-1 HT 2-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
17.09.2022 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-2 HT 0-2 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
09.05.2022 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-1 HT 1-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
21.11.2021 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-1 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Leczna
0-2
AWAY Nieciecza
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gornik Leczna vs Nieciecza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nieciecza got the better of Gornik Leczna 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nieciecza as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Gornik Leczna had 45% of the ball to Nieciecza's 55%, shots finished 6-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nieciecza led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gornik Leczna and 1.50 for Nieciecza.

What was the final score of Gornik Leczna vs Nieciecza?

Gornik Leczna 0-2 Nieciecza in the Poland - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Leczna vs Nieciecza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nieciecza win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gornik Leczna 30%, draw 26%, Nieciecza 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nieciecza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nieciecza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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