Arka Gdynia 2-0 Wisla Plock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒21:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 27% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.70/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.97
+3% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arka Gdynia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Wisla Plock
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
350 Passes 298
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.04.2024 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-0 HT 1-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL1
07.10.2023 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 0-3 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
20.06.2020 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 0-0 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL
07.03.2020 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 1-2 HT 0-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
04.10.2019 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 4-1 HT 2-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL
03.05.2019 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-1 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arka Gdynia
2-0
AWAY Wisla Plock
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Wisla Plock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arka Gdynia beat Wisla Plock 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arka Gdynia as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Arka Gdynia had 60% of the ball to Wisla Plock's 40%, shots finished 19-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arka Gdynia and 1.17 for Wisla Plock.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Wisla Plock?

Arka Gdynia 2-0 Wisla Plock in the Poland - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Wisla Plock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 46%, draw 26%, Wisla Plock 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arka Gdynia), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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