Arka Gdynia 2-0 Wisla Plock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒13:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.31
6+ Goals
11%
11.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+5.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.82/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.80
+14% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arka Gdynia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Wisla Plock
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
350 Passes 298
0 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 0-3 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
20.06.2020 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 0-0 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL
07.03.2020 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 1-2 HT 0-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
04.10.2019 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 4-1 HT 2-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL
03.05.2019 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-1 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL
21.12.2018 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 3-3 HT 0-2 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arka Gdynia
2-0
AWAY Wisla Plock
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Wisla Plock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arka Gdynia beat Wisla Plock 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arka Gdynia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Arka Gdynia had 50% of the ball to Wisla Plock's 50%, shots finished 12-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wisla Plock led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arka Gdynia and 1.67 for Wisla Plock.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Wisla Plock?

Arka Gdynia 2-0 Wisla Plock in the Poland - 1st Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Wisla Plock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 47%, draw 25%, Wisla Plock 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arka Gdynia) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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