Miedz Legnica 2-0 Motor Lublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.87/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.01
+32% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miedz Legnica
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Motor Lublin
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 1-3 HT 0-1 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miedz Legnica
2-0
AWAY Motor Lublin
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Miedz Legnica vs Motor Lublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miedz Legnica got the better of Motor Lublin 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Miedz Legnica as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Miedz Legnica had 44% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 56%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Miedz Legnica vs Motor Lublin?

Miedz Legnica 2-0 Motor Lublin in the Poland - 1st Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miedz Legnica vs Motor Lublin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miedz Legnica win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Miedz Legnica 42%, draw 28%, Motor Lublin 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Miedz Legnica), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Miedz Legnica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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