Nieciecza 2-2 Katowice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.9
Over 2.5
57%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.68
No
40%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
27%
3.51
6+ Goals
12%
13.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
49%
-6.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
51%
+6.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.7pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Katowice EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +23%
1.31/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.80
+0% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +41%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nieciecza
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Katowice
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Katowice Katowice 0-0 HT 0-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
12.02.2023 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-1 HT 0-1 Katowice Katowice POL1
24.07.2022 Katowice Katowice 3-3 HT 2-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
27.10.2021 Katowice Katowice 1-2 HT 0-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POLK
08.03.2015 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-0 HT 1-0 Katowice Katowice POL1
17.08.2014 Katowice Katowice 1-2 HT 1-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nieciecza
2-2
AWAY Katowice
68% Ball Possession 32%
24 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nieciecza vs Katowice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nieciecza and Katowice shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Nieciecza had 68% of the ball to Katowice's 32%, shots finished 24-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nieciecza had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nieciecza and 1.00 for Katowice.

What was the final score of Nieciecza vs Katowice?

Nieciecza 2-2 Katowice in the Poland - 1st Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nieciecza vs Katowice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Katowice win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nieciecza 36%, draw 25%, Katowice 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Katowice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Katowice) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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