Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
2-1
HT 1-0
FK Ufa
RUS
0-1
HT 0-1
Ural
RUS
0-0
HT 0-0
FK Ufa
RUS
3-0
HT 0-0
Ural
RUK
1-2
HT 0-2
Ural
RUS
Ural edged past FK Ufa 2-1 in the Russia - FNL on 11 May 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 43%.
On the day, Ural had 59% of the ball to FK Ufa's 41%, shots finished 15-6.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ural have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ural and 0.83 for FK Ufa.
What was the final score of Ural vs FK Ufa?
Ural 2-1 FK Ufa in the Russia - FNL on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ural vs FK Ufa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ural 47%, draw 28%, FK Ufa 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ural) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.