Tyumen 1-1 Chayka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tyumen EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Chayka EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.30/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.35
-8% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tyumen
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chayka
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
03.11.2024 Chayka Chayka 3-0 HT 2-0 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tyumen
1-1
AWAY Chayka
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Tyumen vs Chayka
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Tyumen and Chayka shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Russia - FNL on 11 May 2025. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Tyumen had 45% of the ball to Chayka's 55%, shots finished 13-10.

What was the final score of Tyumen vs Chayka?

Tyumen 1-1 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tyumen vs Chayka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tyumen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tyumen 45%, draw 26%, Chayka 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tyumen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tyumen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
11 May 2025
14:00 Ural vs FK Ufa Analysis →
17:00 Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs SKA Khabarovsk Analysis →