ND Slovan Ljubljana 3-1 Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 11 May 2025

ND Slovan Ljubljana
3-1 HT 0-1
Gorica
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Slovenia - 2.SNL – 2024/2025

ND Slovan Ljubljana vs Gorica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.65
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.8pp
52%
Away Win
59%
-6.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ND Slovan Ljubljana v Gorica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ND Slovan Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Gorica EU Bookmakers 62%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.59/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.72/0.89
-37% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -8%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
255 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3

ND Slovan Ljubljana vs Gorica Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ND Slovan Ljubljana
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gorica
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
02.11.2024 Gorica Gorica 2-5 HT 2-1 ND Slovan Ljubljana SLVN2
POST-MATCH ND Slovan Ljubljana vs Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ND Slovan Ljubljana beat Gorica 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gorica at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of ND Slovan Ljubljana vs Gorica?

ND Slovan Ljubljana 3-1 Gorica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ND Slovan Ljubljana vs Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split ND Slovan Ljubljana 20%, draw 28%, Gorica 52%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gorica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gorica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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