Monastir vs ES Metlaoui Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monastir v ES Metlaoui — Team-Based Signals
Monastir vs ES Metlaoui Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Monastir
TUN1B
3-2
HT 2-2
ES Metlaoui
TUN1B
1-0
HT 1-0
ES Metlaoui
TUN1B
1-2
HT 0-1
Monastir
TUN1B
Monastir and ES Metlaoui shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Monastir at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monastir had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Monastir and 0.83 for ES Metlaoui.
What was the final score of Monastir vs ES Metlaoui?
Monastir 1-1 ES Metlaoui in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monastir vs ES Metlaoui?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monastir win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Monastir 64%, draw 23%, ES Metlaoui 13%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.