ES Metlaoui 2-2 Monastir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - Cup, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
43%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.56
Over 2.5
35%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.11
6+ Goals
6%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
43%
Away Win
51%
-7.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.5pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Monastir EU Bookmakers 55%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
216 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Metlaoui
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Monastir
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.12.2023 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-3 HT 0-2 Monastir Monastir TUN1B
24.09.2023 Monastir Monastir 3-2 HT 2-2 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1B
25.01.2023 Monastir Monastir 1-0 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1B
23.10.2022 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-2 HT 0-1 Monastir Monastir TUN1B
09.05.2021 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 2-0 HT 1-0 Monastir Monastir TUN1
03.02.2021 Monastir Monastir 1-0 HT 0-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
POST-MATCH ES Metlaoui vs Monastir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Metlaoui and Monastir shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Monastir at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monastir led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for ES Metlaoui and 1.67 for Monastir.

What was the final score of ES Metlaoui vs Monastir?

ES Metlaoui 2-2 Monastir in the Tunisia - Cup on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Metlaoui vs Monastir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monastir win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split ES Metlaoui 27%, draw 30%, Monastir 43%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Monastir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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