Moknine 2-4 Sporting Ben Arous — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - Cup, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
24%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-10.8pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.5pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moknine EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Ben Arous EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -53%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
397 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moknine
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sporting Ben Arous
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
11.12.2022 Sporting Ben Arous Sporting Ben Arous 0-0 HT 0-0 Moknine TUN2
POST-MATCH Moknine vs Sporting Ben Arous
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Ben Arous beat Moknine 4-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Moknine at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Moknine vs Sporting Ben Arous?

Moknine 2-4 Sporting Ben Arous in the Tunisia - Cup on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moknine vs Sporting Ben Arous?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moknine win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Moknine 47%, draw 32%, Sporting Ben Arous 21%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Moknine) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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