KMC 1-2 Simba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
7.95
Draw
33%
4.49
Away
33%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.67
No
50%
1.41
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
10%
+23.4pp
33%
Draw
19%
+14.1pp
33%
Away Win
71%
-37.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
33%
+16.7pp
50%
BTTS No
67%
-16.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KMC EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Simba EU Bookmakers 75%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
0.96/3.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.42
+127% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KMC
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Simba
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
06.11.2024 Simba Simba 4-0 KMC KMC Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
24.12.2021 KMC KMC 1-4 Simba Simba Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
POST-MATCH KMC vs Simba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Simba squeezed past KMC 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Simba made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Simba led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for KMC and 4.00 for Simba.

What was the final score of KMC vs Simba?

KMC 1-2 Simba in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KMC vs Simba?

Before kick-off our model rated a KMC win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split KMC 33%, draw 33%, Simba 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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