Bali United 2-3 Borneo FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 11 May 2026

📅11/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-6.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.4pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bali United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Borneo FC EU Bookmakers 54%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +23%
0.51/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.82
-59% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +41%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bali United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Borneo FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2025 Borneo FC Borneo FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
28.01.2025 Bali United Bali United 3-2 HT 0-0 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
27.08.2024 Borneo FC Borneo FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
30.05.2024 Borneo FC Borneo FC 4-2 HT 3-2 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
25.05.2024 Bali United Bali United 0-0 HT 0-0 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
15.12.2022 Bali United Bali United 1-3 HT 0-0 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bali United
2-3
AWAY Borneo FC
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bali United vs Borneo FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borneo FC nicked a narrow win over Bali United 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Borneo FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bali United had 51% of the ball to Borneo FC's 49%, shots finished 18-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borneo FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bali United and 1.83 for Borneo FC.

What was the final score of Bali United vs Borneo FC?

Bali United 2-3 Borneo FC in the Indonesia League 1 on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bali United vs Borneo FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Borneo FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bali United 33%, draw 23%, Borneo FC 43%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borneo FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Borneo FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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ENDL1 More Indonesia League 1
11 May 2026
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