Bhayangkara United 3-1 Madura United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 11 May 2026

📅11/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bhayangkara United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Madura United EU Bookmakers 40%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +21%
1.54/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.94
+12% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +38%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bhayangkara United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Madura United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.09.2025 Madura United Madura United 0-0 HT 0-0 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United ENDL1
01.03.2024 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United 3-2 HT 2-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
25.08.2023 Madura United Madura United 0-0 HT 0-0 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United ENDL1
08.09.2022 Madura United Madura United 1-0 HT 1-0 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United ENDL1
14.01.2022 Madura United Madura United 2-3 HT 0-1 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United ENDL1
18.09.2021 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United 1-0 HT 1-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Bhayangkara United vs Madura United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bhayangkara United saw off Madura United 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Bhayangkara United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bhayangkara United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bhayangkara United and 0.83 for Madura United.

What was the final score of Bhayangkara United vs Madura United?

Bhayangkara United 3-1 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bhayangkara United vs Madura United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bhayangkara United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bhayangkara United 40%, draw 25%, Madura United 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bhayangkara United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bhayangkara United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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11 May 2026
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