FC Rustavi 2-3 Dinamo Tbilisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 11 May 2026

📅11/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
1.68
Over
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
35%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Rustavi The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi The Market 36%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
2.01/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/0.93
+58% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +48%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Rustavi
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 5
11.03.2026 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Rustavi FC Rustavi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Rustavi
2-3
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Tbilisi edged past FC Rustavi 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Dinamo Tbilisi made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Rustavi had 47% of the ball to Dinamo Tbilisi's 53%, shots finished 7-12.

What was the final score of FC Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

FC Rustavi 2-3 Dinamo Tbilisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Rustavi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Rustavi 37%, draw 26%, Dinamo Tbilisi 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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