Spaeri vs Gagra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spaeri v Gagra — Team-Based Signals
Spaeri vs Gagra Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Spaeri 3-0 Gagra — Actual Match Statistics
Spaeri ran out comfortable winners over Gagra 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Spaeri as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Spaeri had 49% of the ball to Gagra's 51%, shots finished 8-13.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Spaeri had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Spaeri and 1.00 for Gagra.
What was the final score of Spaeri vs Gagra?
Spaeri 3-0 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 11/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spaeri vs Gagra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spaeri win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Spaeri 43%, draw 24%, Gagra 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spaeri) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.