Letonya 1-0 Faroe Adaları — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Baltık Cup, 11 Jun 2024

📅11/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.82
No
64%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-3.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
51%
-14.9pp
64%
BTTS No
49%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Letonya EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Faroe Adaları EU Bookmakers 29%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
1.86/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
-49% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -77%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Letonya
0W-4D-1L
AWAY Faroe Adaları
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 0.73
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 Passes 301
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
12 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
14.11.2020 Letonya Letonya 1-1 HT 0-0 Faroe Adaları Faroe Adaları AVUL
10.10.2020 Faroe Adaları Faroe Adaları 1-1 HT 1-1 Letonya Letonya AVUL
22.03.2018 Faroe Adaları Faroe Adaları 1-1 HT 1-0 Letonya Letonya HAZ
07.10.2017 Faroe Adaları Faroe Adaları 0-0 HT 0-0 Letonya Letonya DKE
07.10.2016 Letonya Letonya 0-2 HT 0-1 Faroe Adaları Faroe Adaları DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Letonya
1-0
AWAY Faroe Adaları
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Letonya vs Faroe Adaları
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Letonya squeezed past Faroe Adaları 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Letonya as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Letonya had 55% of the ball to Faroe Adaları's 45%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Faroe Adaları led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Letonya and 1.00 for Faroe Adaları.

What was the final score of Letonya vs Faroe Adaları?

Letonya 1-0 Faroe Adaları in the Baltık Cup on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Letonya vs Faroe Adaları?

Before kick-off our model rated a Letonya win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Letonya 52%, draw 26%, Faroe Adaları 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Letonya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Letonya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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