Litvanya 1-1 Estonya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Baltık Cup, 11 Jun 2024

📅11/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.68
Over 2.5
37%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.6pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Litvanya EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Estonya EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.46/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/0.44
-76% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Litvanya
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Estonya
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
159 Passes 196
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.11.2022 Estonya Estonya 2-0 HT 0-0 Litvanya Litvanya BALTIK
01.06.2021 Litvanya Litvanya 0-1 HT 0-0 Estonya Estonya BALTIK
07.10.2020 Estonya Estonya 1-3 HT 0-2 Litvanya Litvanya HAZ
30.05.2018 Estonya Estonya 2-0 HT 2-0 Litvanya Litvanya BALTIK
29.05.2016 Litvanya Litvanya 2-0 HT 2-0 Estonya Estonya BALTIK
05.09.2015 Estonya Estonya 1-0 HT 0-0 Litvanya Litvanya AVŞE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Litvanya
1-1
AWAY Estonya
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Litvanya vs Estonya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Litvanya and Estonya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Litvanya had 33% of the ball to Estonya's 67%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estonya led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Litvanya and 1.17 for Estonya.

What was the final score of Litvanya vs Estonya?

Litvanya 1-1 Estonya in the Baltık Cup on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Litvanya vs Estonya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Litvanya win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Litvanya 40%, draw 30%, Estonya 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Litvanya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Litvanya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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