Los Angeles FC vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Los Angeles FC v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
Los Angeles FC 3-1 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
Los Angeles FC beat New Mexico United 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Los Angeles FC as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Los Angeles FC had 51% of the ball to New Mexico United's 49%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.72 to 0.38.
What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs New Mexico United?
Los Angeles FC 3-1 New Mexico United in the USA - Open Cup on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs New Mexico United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 59%, draw 20%, New Mexico United 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.