Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Kansas City v FC Dallas — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
FC Dallas
ABD
2-1
HT 0-1
Sporting Kansas City
ABD
2-1
HT 1-0
Sporting Kansas City
ABD
4-2
HT 0-2
FC Dallas
ABDK
2-2
HT 1-2
FC Dallas
ABD
Sporting Kansas City 2-1 FC Dallas — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Kansas City nicked a narrow win over FC Dallas 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Kansas City as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Sporting Kansas City had 53% of the ball to FC Dallas's 47%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.53 to 1.57.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Kansas City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sporting Kansas City and 1.83 for FC Dallas.
What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?
Sporting Kansas City 2-1 FC Dallas in the USA - Open Cup on 11/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Kansas City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sporting Kansas City 52%, draw 23%, FC Dallas 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Kansas City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.